J
James R. Collins
Founder & Lead Writer — IndexFunds.Guide
12+ years investing in index funds. B.S. Finance. Independent writer and financial educator. Not a licensed financial advisor.
📚 B.S. Finance📊 12+ Years Investing✍️ Independent Writer
S&P 500 Average Annual Return
The S&P 500 has delivered an average annual return of approximately 10% per year since its inception in 1957 (or ~10.5% since the broader market index began tracking in 1928). After adjusting for inflation, the real return is closer to 7% annually.
These averages, however, mask enormous year-to-year variation. Understanding this volatility is essential for any long-term investor.
Best and Worst Years
Best Years
- 1954: +52.6%
- 1958: +43.4%
- 1995: +37.6%
- 2013: +32.4%
- 2019: +31.5%
Worst Years
- 1931: -47.1% (Great Depression)
- 2008: -37.0% (Financial Crisis)
- 1937: -35.0%
- 2002: -22.1% (Dot-com bust)
- 1974: -26.5% (Oil crisis)
Decade by Decade
- 1950s: +486% total (strong postwar growth)
- 1960s: +112% total
- 1970s: +76% total (inflation decade)
- 1980s: +400%+ total (Reagan bull market)
- 1990s: +431% total (tech boom)
- 2000s: -9% total (lost decade — two major crashes)
- 2010s: +374% total
- 2020-2026: Strong gains despite COVID crash in 2020
What This Means for Investors
The key lesson from a century of S&P 500 data: short-term results are unpredictable and volatile, but long-term returns have consistently rewarded patient investors. Every major crash — 1929, 1987, 2000, 2008, 2020 — eventually recovered and reached new highs.
This is why long-term index fund investors are advised to stay invested through downturns rather than trying to time the market.
Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. For educational purposes only.
J
James R. Collins
Founder & Lead Writer — IndexFunds.Guide
12+ years investing in index funds. B.S. Finance. Independent writer and financial educator. Not a licensed financial advisor.
📚 B.S. Finance📊 12+ Years Investing✍️ Independent Writer